The President now has completed the first two months of what will be his first full year in admitting refugees to the US and we see numbers are dramatically lower.
In fact they are so low that if the present pace continues until the end of the fiscal year, September 30th, less than 20,000 could be the final tally.
As readers know the Trump Administration set the CEILING for this fiscal year at 45,000, but that is a ceiling, not a target!
Doing okay, but I continue to argue that simply dropping numbers isn’t enough because the next Prez could raise the numbers higher to make up for lost time. The entire program should be abolished and if the President and Congress want a program they need to work on it. Removing the middlemen contractors should be the first order of business when (if!) they put America First!
I caution readers to not get too excited by the dramatic downward (so far) trend because if past years are any indication there is usually a lull in the first few months followed by a summer uptick then a huge flood comes in in September because everyone is pushing to reach the ceiling (with the exception being the year Obama and Trump shared the fiscal year).
In FY 17 Obama was pouring them in in the first months while in the closing months Trump was slowing the flow.
(See chart below through October 31 to see monthly admissions. Note the ceiling numbers and the ultimate admissions numbers.) And, do you see that dip in the middle of FY11, that is when those Iraqi refugee terrorists were arrested in Bowling Green, KY and caused the whole huge Iraqi flow to America to grind to a halt as they needed to be rescreened.
I’ll focus my attention on the numbers in this fiscal year which includes the months of October and November combined.
For the first two months of FY18 we admitted 3,108 refugees. If that pace continued for the year the total would be less than 20,000 (again 45,000 is the ceiling).
The resettlement contractors*** must be having hissy-fits as they ‘bid for bodies’ (aka paying refugee clients) as each must fight to keep its taxpayer-funded budget from imploding.
***Update*** The wailing began yesterday as Jewish and Lutheran refugee contractors saw the numbers, see here. The Lutherans esp. need the cold hard cash refugees represent because they have some funny-money problems going on there, here.
So what do the Muslim numbers look like?
There is no question that the Muslim percentage of refugees has dropped precipitously this fiscal year, again see Leahy for November.
Muslim refugees account for 16% of the flow this fiscal year which is way down from nearly 50% during some of Obama’s years in office.
My calculations indicate that of the 3,108 total refugee admissions for those two months, 487 are Muslim. That works out to about 16% for the two months. Wrapsnet has the various Muslim sects designated like this:
Amadiyya: 7 total, all from Pakistan
Moslem: total 362
Tops in that category: Burma 111, DR Congo 35, Eritrea 50, Ethiopia 23, and Somalia 107 plus smaller numbers from other countries (Those from Burma are Rohingya)
Moslem Shiite: total 45
Tops in that category: Afghanistan 13, Iraq 29
Moslem Suni: total 73
Tops in that category: Iraq 27, Somalia 19, Syria 22
It makes me laugh to see those Iraqi numbers. We have the Sunnis and Shiites fighting each other in Iraq and then we bring in the two opposing sides! Will they continue their centuries of quarreling in your city?
By the way, if you run your own numbers at Wrapsnet I encourage you to use the fiscal year numbers instead of annual year because this whole program is run on a fiscal year basis.
Have a look at the entry numbers for each month since FY2008 (a Bush year) below:
***And here for new readers are the nine federal resettlement contractors paid by you to place refugees in your towns and cities. These middlemen get paid by the head for their ‘charitable good works,’ so they have no incentive to ever see a reduction in numbers.
- Church World Service (CWS)
- Ethiopian Community Development Council (ECDC) (secular)
- Episcopal Migration Ministries (EMM)
- Hebrew Immigrant Aid Society (HIAS)
- International Rescue Committee (IRC) (secular)
- US Committee for Refugees and Immigrants (USCRI) (secular)
- Lutheran Immigration and Refugee Services (LIRS)
- United States Conference of Catholic Bishops (USCCB)
- World Relief Corporation (WR)