“Men make history and not the other way around. In periods where there is no leadership, society stands still. Progress occurs when courageous, skillful leaders seize the opportunity to change things for the better.” ― Harry S. Truman
I recently had a conference call with two contributors to this publication about what is happening in the Middle East. All three of us came to the same conclusion about where and when the next World War will begin.
The facts all point to a major conflict that will engage the major world powers in a struggle of immense proportions.
Here are the facts that lead us to this conclusion:
- The major military buildup in Southern Lebanon, especially the large number of missiles pointed at the heart of Israel.
- The Iran Deal that has given the regime billions of dollars to fund its proxies Hezbollah and Hamas and arm them with modern missiles.
- The global Iranian missile and nuclear, chemical and biological weapons threats.
- The turmoil in Syria, and Iranian Quds forces and sophisticated equipment including drones located there, that are a direct threat to the Jewish State of Israel.
- The on-the-ground deployment of American troops in Iraq, Syria and Israel.
- The on-the-ground deployment of Russian troops in Syria.
- The expansion of Iranian influence across the Middle East.
- The growing concern by other Middle Eastern nations, i.e. Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, over Iran’s growing aggressiveness.
- The inability of Western Europe to effectively deal with the Middle East due to the large numbers of Muslim migrants in their countries coupled with their economic ties to Iran.
- The growing argument that Israel must strike preemptively in order to survive as a nation.
- The growing real need for Israel to act to protect itself or cease to exist.
The toxic mix of all the above leads to a pre-World War scenario.
It is our collective belief that the fuse for this World War scenario will be lit on the Lebanon/Israeli border. Watch this video of former IDF Lieutenant Colonel (Retired) Sarit Zehavi explaining Israel’s Northern Border at the AIPAC conference in Washington, D.C. on March 5th, 2018:
What will happen and when?
Israel, the United States and Western Europe must understand that history is repeating itself.
Israel won the Six Day War, also known as the June War, 1967 Arab–Israeli War or Third Arab–Israeli War, which was fought between June 5 and 10, 1967. Israel won the Yom Kippur War, Ramadan War, or October War, also known as the 1973 Arab–Israeli War, which was fought by a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria against Israel from October 6 to 25, 1973. Israel won these wars because they were short and involved non-nuclear land based weapons.
Today this has dramatically changed. The threats of tens of thousands of missiles raining down on Israel is unacceptable. The Iron Dome missile defense system would collapse under multiple missile launches from Lebanon, Syria, Gaza and Iran, leading to massive civilian causalities and destruction of vital infrastructure. The long range threat of Iranian missiles, coupled with the real possibility that some of these missiles may be tipped with weapons of mass destruction cannot be tolerated by any nation, let alone Israel.
Israel can no longer depend on winning the next war by watching and waiting until the enemy strikes. A massive missile attack on the Jewish state would be devastating, perhaps fatal.
Given history here are our predictions on what will happen and when:
- Israel will preemptively strike Hezbollah in Lebanon and Syria.
- Israel will face attacks on five fronts: Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iran and internally from the Palestinian Liberation Organization.
- The war will begin between June (after the 70th anniversary of the establishment of Israel as a nation) and October (before the U.S. midterm elections) 2018.
- Israel will not stop after one week regardless of international condemnation by dozens of nations, with the exception of the United States, and the United Nations.
- Israel will only stop when it has removed Hezbollah and taken enough of Lebanon to end the existential threat.
The winds of war are upon us. We are entering yet another darkest hour.
The United States and Israel must stand strong together for the sake of a lasting peace in the Middle East.