“This is not a blue wave,” CNN’s Jake Tapper said while watching early election results come in. What transpired looked more like a blue ripple.
Harkness and Stepman list the following as one of the key reasons:
2. The Kavanaugh Effect
It was a rough night for red state Senate Democrats who voted against the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.
Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., was the only Senate Democrat who voted to confirm Kavanaugh. He narrowly defeated his opponent, West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, in a state that President Donald Trump won overwhelmingly in 2016.
But a significant number of Senate Democrats up for election from states that Trump won in 2016 went down in defeat.
Sens. Heidi Heitkamp, D-N.D.; Joe Donnelly, D-Ind.; Claire McCaskill, D-Mo.; and Bill Nelson, D-Fla., all lost to Republican challengers.
According to the Associated Press, the Kavanaugh issue had a particularly big impact in North Dakota.
“[I]n North Dakota, where Republicans picked up a seat that helped them hold onto control of the Senate, voters concerned about Kavanaugh broke toward the GOP by about 2 to 1,” according to AP VoteCast, which is a national survey of the electorate.
Will the Kavanaugh Effect become the Trump Effect in 2010?
Tristan Justice in the article “7 of Pelosi’s Priorities as Democrats Take Back the House” lists:
1. More Investigations of Trump
Democrats will have the power to conduct congressional oversight when they take over the House in January, opening the door to a wide range of investigations of President Donald Trump’s administration.
While some Democrats such as Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., have argued for the impeachment of the president, Pelosi has resisted the idea. As House minority leader, she called the word “impeachment” divisive at a mid-October talk at Harvard’s Institute of Politics, the Associated Press reported.
Instead, Pelosi told students at the gathering that a Democratic majority would use House committees to conduct additional oversight of the Trump administration and preserve all documents related to special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation of Trump’s connections with Russia, for congressional follow-up.
If House Democrats pillory President Donald J. Trump to the extent that Senate Democrats burned at the stake of public opinion Justice Brett Kavanaugh we may well see serious blow back in 2020.