Florida County Republican Registrations Report — August 2024

Governor DeSantis, and Mom’s for Liberty, were derided for their school board candidates not doing as well as was hoped for in the August primary. The poor results were not a reflection of their political influence, but a reflection of election law that disenfranchises the multitude of voters who only vote in the general election.

In my home County of Indian River, the two school board races had candidates that were endorsed by the Governor, Mom’s for Liberty, and our Republican Executive Committee, and these candidates both lost. Had the election taken place in the general election, they would have handily won.

Amendment 1, making school board elections partisan, would not have changed the outcome of these elections. Owing to the elections likely having had only Republican candidates in the election, the elections would have become “Universal Primary Contests” with the same people winning the elections at the time of the primary!

Universal primary contests are wholly unfair to conservative Republicans while also disenfranchising a huge block of voters who only vote in general elections. I am voting against Amendment 1 owing to it does not change the unfairness of this crazy primary system! Contact your legislators, and the governor, to get election law changed so that no elections are decided at the time of the primary election!

Notes: 1) This report will likely not be generated again until after the general election. 2) Seminole County had not posted updated registration numbers by Friday, September 6th, so the previous month’s numbers were used in both this narrative and the tables and charts.

Florida Voter Registrations

Note: the registrations numbers in this writing refer to active registrations, a subset of total registrations.

Florida Republicans continue the trend of making relative gains in active voter registrations as Republican registrations relative to Democrat registrations increased by 28,391 registrations in August and by 718,208 registrations since the book closing for the 2022 general election. It seems Vice President Harris replacing President Biden as the Democrat’s presidential nominee had little or no impact on changing the negative relative Democrat registration trends.

Florida Republicans now have a 1,024,158 relative registrations advantage over the Democrats. Republican registrations were 39.37% of total registrations and Republicans now enjoy a 7.50% of total registrations advantage over the Democrats (see tables).

The Democrats gained 33,345 registrations in August, lost 615,840 registrations since the 2022 book closing, and 947,765 registrations since the 2020 election. Republican registrations increased by 61,736 in August, and the number of registrations which are neither Republican nor Democrat increased by 26,378 registrations in August (see chart).

The report with tables and a chart shows the following.

• The chart shows graphically the change in active registrations since the 2022 book closing.
• Table 1 lists Florida Counties by Republican registration margins relative to Democrat registrations.
• Table 2 shows how Florida Counties are performing relative to each other in Republican registration margin improvement (some of the biggest relative gainers are the Counties of Hillsborough, St. Lucie, Seminole, Pinellas, Polk, Volusia, and Sarasota). The Counties of Lee and Collier should be recognized for their continuous leadership in Republican registration margin relative to Democrat registrations.
• Table 3 lists vote margin changes of Florida Counties between the last two presidential and gubernatorial elections
• Table 4 lists Florida Counties in order by gains in Republican registrations and shows the associated registration changes for non-Republicans.
• Table 5 presents various Republican registration and vote metrics on a percentage basis.

©2024. Steve Meyer. All rights reserved.