Trump’s ‘America First’ foreign policy strategy

Donald Trump made a major foreign policy speech at the Mayflower Hotel in Washington, D.C. to a gathering of The National Interest Magazine, and its parent institution, The Center for the National Interest.

Trump first laid out why America’s current foreign policy has failed. He then outlined his “America First” foreign policy.

Trump stated that U.S. foreign policy under President Obama and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had, “No vision. No purpose. No direction. No strategy.”

Trump then set the his vision, purpose, direction and strategy for an “America First” foreign polity:

  1. America is going to be strong again.
  2. We’re getting out of the nation-building business and instead focusing on creating stability in the world.
  3. I will not hesitate to deploy military force when there is no alternative. But if America fights, it must only fight to win.
  4. The countries we are defending must pay for the cost of this defense, and if not, the U.S. must be prepared to let these countries defend themselves.
  5. Our goal is peace and prosperity, not war and destruction.
  6. In the Middle East our goals must be, and I mean must be, to defeat [Islamic] terrorists and promote regional stability, not radical change.
  7. Iran cannot be allowed to have a nuclear weapon, cannot be allowed. Remember that, cannot be allowed to have a nuclear weapon.
  8. Finally, we must develop a foreign policy based on American interests.

Watch Donald Trump’s full remarks:

Below is the full text of Mr. Trump’s remarks:

“Thank you for the opportunity to speak to you, and thank you to the Center for National Interest for honoring me with this invitation. It truly is a great honor. I’d like to talk today about how to develop a new foreign policy direction for our country, one that replaces randomness with purpose, ideology with strategy, and chaos with peace.

It’s time to shake the rust off America’s foreign policy. It’s time to invite new voices and new visions into the fold, something we have to do. The direction I will outline today will also return us to a timeless principle. My foreign policy will always put the interests of the American people and American security above all else. It has to be first. Has to be.

That will be the foundation of every single decision that I will make. America…

America first will be the major and overriding theme of my administration. But to chart our path forward, we must first briefly take a look back. We have a lot to be proud of.

In the 1940s we saved the world. The greatest generation beat back the Nazis and Japanese imperialists. Then we saved the world again. This time, from totalitarianism and communism. The Cold War lasted for decades but, guess what, we won and we won big. Democrats and Republicans working together got Mr. Gorbachev to heed the words of President Reagan, our great president, when he said, tear down this wall.

History will not forget what he did. A very special man and president. Unfortunately, after the Cold War our foreign policy veered badly off course. We failed to develop a new vision for a new time. In fact, as time went on, our foreign policy began to make less and less sense. Logic was replaced with foolishness and arrogance, which led to one foreign policy disaster after another.

They just kept coming and coming. We went from mistakes in Iraq to Egypt to Libya, to President Obama’s line in the sand in Syria. Each of these actions have helped to throw the region into chaos and gave ISIS the space it needs to grow and prosper. Very bad. It all began with a dangerous idea that we could make western democracies out of countries that had no experience or interests in becoming a western democracy.

We tore up what institutions they had and then were surprised at what we unleashed. Civil war, religious fanaticism, thousands of Americans and just killed be lives, lives, lives wasted. Horribly wasted. Many trillions of dollars were lost as a result. The vacuum was created that ISIS would fill. Iran, too, would rush in and fill that void much to their really unjust enrichment.

They have benefited so much, so sadly, for us. Our foreign policy is a complete and total disaster. No vision. No purpose. No direction. No strategy. Today I want to identify five main weaknesses in our foreign policy.

First, our resources are totally over extended. President Obama has weakened our military by weakening our economy. He’s crippled us with wasteful spending, massive debt, low growth, a huge trade deficit and open borders. Our manufacturing trade deficit with the world is now approaching $1 trillion a year.

We’re rebuilding other countries while weakening our own. Ending the theft of American jobs will give us resources we need to rebuild our military, which has to happen and regain our financial independence and strength. I am the only person running for the presidency who understands this and this is a serious problem.

I’m the only one — believe me, I know them all, I’m the only one who knows how to fix it.

Secondly, our allies are not paying their fair share, and I’ve been talking about this recently a lot. Our allies must contribute toward their financial, political, and human costs, have to do it, of our tremendous security burden. But many of them are simply not doing so.

They look at the United States as weak and forgiving and feel no obligation to honor their agreements with us. In NATO, for instance, only 4 of 28 other member countries besides America, are spending the minimum required 2 percent of GDP on defense. We have spent trillions of dollars over time on planes, missiles, ships, equipment, building up our military to provide a strong defense for Europe and Asia.

The countries we are defending must pay for the cost of this defense, and if not, the U.S. must be prepared to let these countries defend themselves. We have no choice.

The whole world will be safer if our allies do their part to support our common defense and security. A Trump administration will lead a free world that is properly armed and funded, and funded beautifully.

Thirdly, our friends are beginning to think they can’t depend on us. We’ve had a president who dislikes our friends and bows to our enemies, something that we’ve never seen before in the history of our country. He negotiated a disastrous deal with Iran, and then we watched them ignore its terms even before the ink was dry. Iran cannot be allowed to have a nuclear weapon, cannot be allowed. Remember that, cannot be allowed to have a nuclear weapon.

And under a Trump administration, will never, ever be allowed to have that nuclear weapon.

All of this without even mentioning the humiliation of the United States with Iran’s treatment of our ten captured sailors — so vividly I remember that day. In negotiation, you must be willing to walk. The Iran deal, like so many of our worst agreements, is the result of not being willing to leave the table.

When the other side knows you’re not going to walk, it becomes absolutely impossible to win — you just can’t win. At the same time, your friends need to know that you will stick by the agreements that you have with them. You’ve made that agreement, you have to stand by it and the world will be a better place. President Obama gutted our missile defense program and then abandoned our missile defense plans with Poland and the Czech Republic. He supported the ouster of a friendly regime in Egypt that had a longstanding peace treaty with Israel, and then helped bring the Muslim Brotherhood to power in its place.

Israel, our great friend and the one true democracy in the Middle East has been snubbed and criticized by an administration that lacks moral clarity. Just a few days ago, Vice President Biden again criticized Israel, a force for justice and peace, for acting as an impatient peace area in the region.

President Obama has not been a friend to Israel. He has treated Iran with tender love and care and made it a great power. Iran has, indeed, become a great, great power in just a very short period of time, because of what we’ve done. All of the expense and all at the expense of Israel, our allies in the region and very importantly, the United States itself.
We’ve picked fights with our oldest friends, and now they’re starting to look elsewhere for help. Remember that. Not good.

Fourth, our rivals no longer respect us. In fact, they’re just as confused as our allies, but in an even bigger problem is they don’t take us seriously anymore. The truth is they don’t respect us. When President Obama landed in Cuba on Air Force One, to leader was there, nobody, to greet him.

Perhaps an incident without precedent in the long and prestigious history of Air Force One. Then amazingly, the same thing happened in Saudi Arabia. It’s called no respect. Absolutely no respect.

Do you remember when the president made a long and expensive trip to Copenhagen, Denmark, to get the Olympics for our country, and after this unprecedented effort, it was announced that the United States came in fourth — fourth place? The president of the United States making this trip — unprecedented — comes in fourth place. He should have known the result before making such an embarrassing commitment. We were laughed at all over the world, as we have been many, many times.

The list of humiliations go on and on and on. President Obama watches helplessly as North Korea increases its aggression and expands further and further with its nuclear reach. Our president has allowed China to continue its economic assault on American jobs and wealth, refusing to enforce trade deals and apply leverage on China necessary to rein in North Korea. We have the leverage. We have the power over China, economic power, and people don’t understand it. And with that economic power, we can rein in and we can get them to do what they have to do with North Korea, which is totally out of control.

He has even allowed China to steal government secrets with cyber attacks and engaged in industrial espionage against the United States and its companies. We’ve let our rivals and challengers think they can get away with anything, and they do. They do at will. It always happens. If President Obama’s goal had been to weaken America, he could not have done a better job.

Finally, America no longer has a clear understanding of our foreign policy goals. Since the end of the Cold War and the breakup of the Soviet Union, we’ve lacked a coherent foreign policy. One day, we’re bombing Libya and getting rid of a dictator to foster democracy for civilians. The next day, we’re watching the same civilians suffer while that country falls and absolutely falls apart. Lives lost, massive moneys lost. The world is a different place.

We’re a humanitarian nation, but the legacy of the Obama-Clinton interventions will be weakness, confusion and disarray, a mess. We’ve made the Middle East more unstable and chaotic than ever before. We left Christians subject to intense persecution and even genocide.

We have done nothing to help the Christians, nothing, and we should always be ashamed for that, for that lack of action. Our actions in Iraq, Libya and Syria have helped unleash ISIS, and we’re in a war against radical Islam, but President Obama won’t even name the enemy, and unless you name the enemy, you will never ever solve the problem.

Hillary Clinton also refuses to say the words radical Islam, even as she pushes for a massive increase in refugees coming into our country. After Secretary Clinton’s failed intervention in Libya, Islamic terrorists in Benghazi took down our consulate and killed our ambassador and three brave Americans. Then, instead of taking charge that night, Hillary Clinton decided to go home and sleep. Incredible.

Clinton blames it all on a video, an excuse that was a total lie, proven to be absolutely a total lie. Our ambassador was murdered and our secretary of state misled the nation. And, by the way, she was not awake to take that call at 3 o’clock in the morning. And now ISIS is making millions and millions of dollars a week selling Libya oil. And you know what? We don’t blockade, we don’t bomb, we don’t do anything about it. It’s almost as if our country doesn’t even know what’s happening, which could be a fact and could be true.

This will all change when I become president.

To our friends and allies, I say America is going to be strong again. America is going to be reliable again. It’s going to be a great and reliable ally again. It’s going to be a friend again. We’re going to finally have a coherent foreign policy based upon American interests and the shared interests of our allies.

We’re getting out of the nation-building business and instead focusing on creating stability in the world. Our moments of greatest strength came when politics ended at the water’s edge. We need a new rational American foreign policy, informed by the best minds and supported by both parties, and it will be by both parties — Democrats, Republicans, independents, everybody, as well as by our close allies.

This is how we won the Cold War and it’s how we will win our new future struggles, which may be many, which may be complex, but we will win if I become president.

First, we need a long-term plan to halt the spread and reach of radical Islam. Containing the spread of radical Islam must be a major foreign policy goal of the United States and indeed the world. Events may require the use of military force, but it’s also a philosophical struggle, like our long struggle in the Cold War.

In this, we’re going to be working very closely with our allies in the Muslim world, all of which are at risk from radical Islamic violence, attacks and everything else. It is a dangerous world, more dangerous now than it has ever been.

We should work — thank you.

We should work together with any nation in the region that is threatened by the rise of radical Islam. But this has to be a two-way street. They must also be good to us. Remember that. They have to be good to us, no longer one way. It’s now two-way. And remember, us and all we’re doing, they have to appreciate what we’ve done to them. We’re going to help, but they have to appreciate what we’ve done for them. The struggle against radical Islam also takes place in our homeland. There are scores of recent migrants inside our borders charged with terrorism. For every case known to the public, there are dozens and dozens more. We must stop importing extremism through senseless immigration policies. We have no idea where these people are coming from. There’s no documentation. There’s no paperwork. There’s nothing. We have to be smart. We have to be vigilant.

A pause for reassessment will help us to prevent the next San Bernardino or frankly, much worse. All you have to do is look at the World Trade Center and September 11th, one of the great catastrophes, in my opinion, the single greatest military catastrophe in the history of our country; worse than Pearl Harbor because you take a look at what’s happened, and citizens were attacked, as opposed to the military being attacked — one of the true great catastrophes.

And then there’s ISIS. I have a simple message for them. Their days are numbered. I won’t tell them where and I won’t tell them how. We must…

… we must as a nation be more unpredictable. We are totally predictable. We tell everything. We’re sending troops. We tell them. We’re sending something else. We have a news conference. We have to be unpredictable. And we have to be unpredictable starting now.

But they’re going to be gone. ISIS will be gone if I’m elected president. And they’ll be gone quickly. They will be gone very, very quickly.

Secondly, we have to rebuild our military and our economy. The Russians and Chinese have rapidly expanded their military capability, but look at what’s happened to us. Our nuclear weapons
arsenal, our ultimate deterrent, has been allowed to atrophy and is desperately in need of modernization and renewal. And it has to happen immediately. Our active duty armed forces have shrunk from 2 million in 1991 to about 1.3 million today. The Navy has shrunk from over 500 ships to 272 ships during this same period of time. The Air Force is about one-third smaller than 1991. Pilots flying B-52s in combat missions today. These planes are older than virtually everybody in this room.

And what are we doing about this? President Obama has proposed a 2017 defense budget that in real dollars, cuts nearly 25 percent from what we were spending in 2011. Our military is depleted and we’re asking our generals and military leaders to worry about global warming.

We will spend what we need to rebuild our military. It is the cheapest, single investment we can make. We will develop, build and purchase the best equipment known to mankind. Our military dominance must be unquestioned, and I mean unquestioned, by anybody and everybody.

But we will look for savings and spend our money wisely. In this time of mounting debt, right now we have so much debt that nobody even knows how to address the problem. But I do. No one dollar can be wasted. Not one single dollar can we waste. We’re also going to have to change our trade, immigration and economic policies to make our economy strong again. And to put Americans first again.

This will ensure that our own workers, right here in America, get the jobs and higher pay that will grow our tax revenues, increase our economic might as a nation, make us strong financially again. So, so important. We need to think smart about areas where our technological superiority, and nobody comes close, gives us an edge.

This includes 3D printing, artificial intelligence and cyber warfare. A great country also takes care of its warriors. Our commitment to them is absolute, and I mean absolute. A trump administration will give our servicemen and women the best equipment and support in the world when they serve and where they serve. And the best care in the world when they return as veterans and they come back home to civilian life. Our veterans…

Our veterans have not been treated fairly or justly. These are our great people and we must treat them fairly. We must even treat them really, really well and that will happen under the Trump administration.

Finally, we must develop a foreign policy based on American interests. Businesses do not succeed when they lose sight of their core interests and neither do countries. Look at what happened in the 1990s. Our embassies in Kenya and Tanzania — and this was a horrible time for us — were attacked. and 17 brave sailors were killed on the USS Cole.

And what did we do? It seemed we put more effort into adding China into the World Trade organization, which has been a total disaster for the United States. Frankly, we spent more time on that than we did in stopping Al Qaida. We even had an opportunity to take out Osama bin Laden and we didn’t do it

And then we got hit at the World Trade Center and the Pentagon. Again, the worst attack on our country in its history. Our foreign policy goals must be based on America’s core national security interests. And the following will be my priorities.

In the Middle East our goals must be, and I mean must be, to defeat terrorists and promote regional stability, not radical change. We need to be clear sighted about the groups that will never be anything other than enemies. And believe me, we have groups that no matter what you do, they will be the enemy.

We have to be smart enough to recognize who those groups are, who those people are, and not help them. And we must only be generous to those that prove they are indeed our friends.

We desire to live peacefully and in friendship with Russia and China. We have serious differences with these two nations, and must regard them with open eyes, but we are not bound to be adversaries. We should seek common ground based on shared interests.

Russia, for instance, has also seen the horror of Islamic terrorism. I believe an easing of tensions, and improved relations with Russia from a position of strength only is possible, absolutely possible. Common sense says this cycle, this horrible cycle of hostility must end and ideally will end soon. Good for both countries.

Some say the Russians won’t be reasonable. I intend to find out. If we can’t make a deal under my administration, a deal that’s great — not good, great — for America, but also good for Russia, then we will quickly walk from the table. It’s as simple as that. We’re going to find out.

Fixing our relations with China is another important step — and really toward creating an even more prosperous period of time. China respects strength and by letting them take advantage of us economically, which they are doing like never before, we have lost all of their respect.

We have a massive trade deficit with China, a deficit that we have to find a way quickly, and I mean quickly, to balance. A strong and smart America is an America that will find a better friend in China, better than we have right now. Look at what China is doing in the South China Sea. They’re not supposed to be doing it.

No respect for this country or this president. We can both benefit or we can both go our separate ways. If need be, that’s what’s going to have to happen.

After I’m elected president, I will also call for a summit with our NATO allies and a separate summit with our Asian allies. In these summits, we will not only discuss a rebalancing of financial commitments, but take a fresh look at how we can adopt new strategies for tackling our common challenges. For instance, we will discuss how we can upgrade NATO’s outdated mission and structure, grown out of the Cold War to confront our shared challenges, including migration and Islamic terrorism.

I will not hesitate to deploy military force when there is no alternative. But if America fights, it must only fight to win.

I will never sent our finest into battle unless necessary, and I mean absolutely necessary, and will only do so if we have a plan for victory with a capital V.

Our goal is peace and prosperity, not war and destruction. The best way to achieve those goals is through a disciplined, deliberate and consistent foreign policy. With President Obama and Secretary Clinton we’ve had the exact opposite — a reckless, rudderless and aimless foreign policy, one that has blazed the path of destruction in its wake.

After losing thousands of lives and spending trillions of dollars, we are in far worst shape in the Middle East than ever, ever before. I challenge anyone to explain the strategic foreign policy vision of Obama/Clinton. It has been a complete and total disaster.

I will also be prepared to deploy America’s economic resources. Financial leverage and sanctions can be very, very persuasive, but we need to use them selectively and with total determination.

Our power will be used if others do not play by the rules. In other words, if they do not treat us fairly. Our friends and enemies must know that if I draw a line in the sand, I will enforce that line in the sand. Believe me.

However, unlike other candidates for the presidency, war and aggression will not be my first instinct. You cannot have a foreign policy without diplomacy. A superpower understands that caution and restraint are really truly signs of strength. Although not in government service, I was totally against the war in Iraq, very proudly, saying for many years that it would destabilize the Middle East. Sadly, I was correct, and the biggest beneficiary has been has been Iran, who is systematically taking over Iraq and gaining access to their very rich oil reserves, something it has wanted to do for decades.

And now, to top it off, we have ISIS. My goal is to establish a foreign policy that will endure for several generations. That’s why I also look and have to look for talented experts with approaches and practical ideas, rather than surrounding myself with those who have perfect resumes but very little to brag about except responsibility for a long history of failed policies and continued losses at war. We have to look to new people.

We have to look to new people because many of the old people frankly don’t know what they’re doing, even though they may look awfully good writing in the New York Times or being watched on television.

Finally, I will work with our allies to reinvigorate Western values and institutions. Instead of trying to spread universal values that not everybody shares or wants, we should understand that strengthening and promoting Western civilization and its accomplishments will do more to inspire positive reforms around the world than military interventions.

These are my goals as president. I will seek a foreign policy that all Americans, whatever their party, can support, so important, and which our friends and allies will respect and totally welcome. The world must know that we do not go abroad in search of enemies, that we are always happy when old enemies become friends and when old friends become allies, that’s what we want. We want them to be our allies.

We want the world to be — we want to bring peace to the world. Too much destruction out there, too many destructive weapons. The power of weaponry is the single biggest problem that we have today in the world.

To achieve these goals, Americans must have confidence in their country and its leadership. Again, many Americans must wonder why we our politicians seem more interested in defending the borders of foreign countries than in defending their own. Americans…

Americans must know that we’re putting the American people first again on trade.

So true. On trade, on immigration, on foreign policy. The jobs, incomes and security of the American worker will always be my first priority.

No country has ever prospered that failed to put its own interests first. Both our friends and our enemies put their countries above ours and we, while being fair to them, must start doing the same. We will no longer surrender this country or its people to the false song of globalism. The nation-state remains the true foundation for happiness and harmony. I am skeptical of international unions that tie us up and bring America down and will never enter…

And under my administration, we will never enter America into any agreement that reduces our ability to control our own affairs.

NAFTA, as an example, has been a total disaster for the United States and has emptied our states — literally emptied our states of our manufacturing and our jobs. And I’ve just gotten to see it. I’ve toured Pennsylvania. I’ve toured New York. I’ve toured so many of the states. They have been cleaned out. Their manufacturing is gone.

Never again, only the reverse — and I have to say this strongly — never again; only the reverse will happen. We will keep our jobs and bring in new ones. There will be consequences for the companies that leave the United States only to exploit it later. They fire the people. They take advantage of the United States. There will be consequences for those companies. Never again.

Under a Trump administration, no American citizen will ever again feel that their needs come second to the citizens of a foreign country.

I will view as president the world through the clear lens of American interests. I will be America’s greatest defender and most loyal champion. We will not apologize for becoming successful again, but will instead embrace the unique heritage that makes us who we are.

The world is most peaceful and most prosperous when America is strongest. America will continue and continue forever to play the role of peacemaker. We will always help save lives and indeed humanity itself, but to play the role, we must make America strong again.

And always — always, always, we must make, and we have to look at it from every angle, and we have no choice, we must make America respected again. We must make America truly wealthy again. And we must — we have to and we will make America great again. And if we do that — and if we do that, perhaps this century can be the most peaceful and prosperous the world has ever, ever known. Thank you very much, everybody. I appreciate it. Thank you.

Thank you very much.

Thank you.”

Who’s On Track For The Nomination? by Aaron Bycoffe and David Wasserman

Tracking a candidate’s progress requires more than straight delegate counts. We’ve estimated how many delegates each candidate would need in each primary contest to win the nomination. See who’s on track and who’s falling behind

The Democratic National Committee includes 712 “superdelegates,” usually elected officials and party leaders, whose votes at the convention are not bound to a candidate based on primary and caucus results. Because superdelegates can change their preferences before the convention, we are not including them in our delegate targets.

CLICK HERE FOR THE LATEST 2016 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY DELEGATE COUNT

Donald J. Trump

We think Trump will fare best in states and congressional districts with small shares of college graduates. His ideal path would depend on a broad coalition of Southern, Midwestern and industrial Northeastern states. Can You Get Trump To 1,237?

172 delegates will be at stake in 5 contests. Trump’s target is 97 delegates.

Ted Cruz

Cruz’s ideal path would rely heavily on evangelical voters in the Deep South, conservative sections of the Midwest, and Texas. Many of these areas vote earlier in the calendar.

172 delegates will be at stake in 5 contests. Cruz’s target is 30 delegates.

John Kasich

Kasich’s ideal path would rely on more liberal and highly educated swaths of New England, the Midwest and the West Coast. His path depends less on heavily evangelical and Southern states, most of which vote earlier in the calendar.

172 delegates will be at stake in 5 contests. Kasich’s target is 127 delegates.

Marco Rubio Dropped out

Rubio’s ideal path would rely on highly educated parts of the Mid-Atlantic, West Coast and Great Lakes regions. His path is heavily reliant on winner-take-all states later in the primary calendar.

trump cruz kasich rubio
Date State Or Territory Total delegates Won/Target Won/Target Won/Target Won/Target
Feb. 1 Iowa 30
7/10
8/13
1/11
7/12
Feb. 9 New Hampshire 23
11/8
3/8
4/11
2/10
Feb. 20 South Carolina 50
50/41
0/50
0/6
0/6
Feb. 23 Nevada 30
14/13
6/11
1/10
7/11
March 1 Alabama 50
36/19
13/26
0/7
1/13
Alaska 28
11/9
12/12
0/9
5/12
Arkansas 40
16/14
15/21
0/6
9/12
Georgia 76
42/25
18/41
0/18
16/26
Massachusetts 42
22/20
4/12
8/21
8/16
Minnesota 38
8/12
13/13
0/14
17/14
Oklahoma 43
13/15
15/19
0/8
12/14
Tennessee 58
33/20
16/31
0/9
9/14
Texas 155
48/67
104/104
0/31
3/53
Vermont 16
8/7
0/5
8/8
0/7
Virginia 49
17/17
8/18
5/19
16/22
March 5 Kansas 40
9/16
24/20
1/10
6/13
Kentucky 46
17/21
15/20
7/10
7/17
Louisiana 46
18/23
18/22
0/8
5/14
Maine 23
9/9
12/9
2/11
0/10
March 6 Puerto Rico 23
0/8
0/8
0/15
23/15
March 8 Hawaii 19
11/7
7/9
0/10
1/10
Idaho 32
12/10
20/13
0/9
0/15
Michigan 59
25/25
17/22
17/22
0/23
Mississippi 40
25/17
15/19
0/7
0/13
March 10 Virgin Islands 9
1/0
1/0
0/9
2/9
March 12 District of Columbia 19
0/7
0/7
9/10
10/8
Guam 9
0/3
0/3
0/6
0/6
March 15 Florida 99
99/99
0/99
0/99
0/99
Illinois 69
54/39
9/18
6/60
0/63
Missouri 52
37/42
15/52
0/5
0/10
North Carolina 72
29/26
27/29
9/25
6/30
Northern Marianas 9
9/0
0/0
0/9
0/9
Ohio 66
0/66
0/66
66/66
0/0
March 22 American Samoa 9
0/3
0/3
0/6
—/6
Arizona 58
58/58
0/58
0/58
—/58
Utah 40
0/9
40/17
0/11
—/20
April 1 North Dakota 28
0/10
0/10
0/9
—/12
April 5 Wisconsin 42
6/18
36/33
0/39
—/42
April 9 Colorado 37
0/11
30/17
0/15
—/16
April 16 Wyoming 29
1/10
23/11
0/7
—/13
April 19 New York 95
90/58
0/6
5/45
—/55
April 26 Connecticut 28
/15
/4
/21
—/11
Delaware 16
/16
/0
/16
—/16
Maryland 38
/17
/3
/32
—/35
Pennsylvania 71
/40
/19
/48
—/45
Rhode Island 19
/9
/4
/10
—/7
May 3 Indiana 57
/51
/57
/9
—/6
May 10 Nebraska 36
/0
/36
/36
—/36
West Virginia 34
/34
/34
/0
—/0
May 17 Oregon 28
/9
/11
/13
—/13
May 24 Washington 44
/15
/16
/16
—/16
June 7 California 172
/81
/30
/151
—/157
Montana 27
/0
/27
/27
—/27
New Jersey 51
/51
/0
/51
—/0
New Mexico 24
/7
/12
/9
—/11
South Dakota 29
/0
/29
/29
—/29
TOTAL 2,472
846/892
544/955
149/769
173/828
trump cruz kasich rubio
Date State/ Territory Total delegates Total Won/Target Won/Target Won/Target Won/Target
2/1 Iowa 30
7/10
8/13
1/11
7/12
2/9 N.H. 23
11/8
3/8
4/11
2/10
2/20 S.C. 50
50/41
0/50
0/6
0/6
2/23 Nev. 30
14/13
6/11
1/10
7/11
3/1 Ala. 50
36/19
13/26
0/7
1/13
Alaska 28
11/9
12/12
0/9
5/12
Ark. 40
16/14
15/21
0/6
9/12
Ga. 76
42/25
18/41
0/18
16/26
Mass. 42
22/20
4/12
8/21
8/16
Minn. 38
8/12
13/13
0/14
17/14
Okla. 43
13/15
15/19
0/8
12/14
Tenn. 58
33/20
16/31
0/9
9/14
Texas 155
48/67
104/104
0/31
3/53
Vt. 16
8/7
0/5
8/8
0/7
Va. 49
17/17
8/18
5/19
16/22
3/5 Kan. 40
9/16
24/20
1/10
6/13
Ky. 46
17/21
15/20
7/10
7/17
La. 46
18/23
18/22
0/8
5/14
Maine 23
9/9
12/9
2/11
0/10
3/6 P.R. 23
0/8
0/8
0/15
23/15
3/8 Hawaii 19
11/7
7/9
0/10
1/10
Idaho 32
12/10
20/13
0/9
0/15
Mich. 59
25/25
17/22
17/22
0/23
Miss. 40
25/17
15/19
0/7
0/13
3/10 V.I. 9
1/0
1/0
0/9
2/9
3/12 D.C. 19
0/7
0/7
9/10
10/8
Guam 9
0/3
0/3
0/6
0/6
3/15 Fla. 99
99/99
0/99
0/99
0/99
Ill. 69
54/39
9/18
6/60
0/63
Mo. 52
37/42
15/52
0/5
0/10
N.C. 72
29/26
27/29
9/25
6/30
C.N.M.I. 9
9/0
0/0
0/9
0/9
Ohio 66
0/66
0/66
66/66
0/0
3/22 A.S. 9
0/3
0/3
0/6
0/6
Ariz. 58
58/58
0/58
0/58
0/58
Utah 40
0/9
40/17
0/11
0/20
4/1 N.D. 28
0/10
0/10
0/9
0/12
4/5 Wis. 42
6/18
36/33
0/39
0/42
4/9 Colo. 37
0/11
30/17
0/15
0/16
4/16 Wyo. 29
1/10
23/11
0/7
1/13
4/19 N.Y. 95
90/58
0/6
5/45
0/55
4/26 Conn. 28
/15
/4
/21
—/11
Del. 16
/16
/0
/16
—/16
Md. 38
/17
/3
/32
—/35
Pa. 71
/40
/19
/48
—/45
R.I. 19
/9
/4
/10
—/7
5/3 Ind. 57
/51
/57
/9
—/6
5/10 Neb. 36
/0
/36
/36
—/36
W.Va. 34
/34
/34
/0
—/0
5/17 Ore. 28
/9
/11
/13
—/13
5/24 Wash. 44
/15
/16
/16
—/16
6/7 Calif. 172
/81
/30
/151
—/157
Mont. 27
/0
/27
/27
—/27
N.J. 51
/51
/0
/51
—/0
N.M. 24
/7
/12
/9
—/11
S.D. 29
/0
/29
/29
—/29
TOTAL 2,472
846/892
544/955
149/769
173/828
trump cruz kasich rubio
Date State Or Territory Total delegates Won/Target Won/Target Won/Target Won/Target
Feb. 1 Iowa 30
7/10
8/13
1/11
7/12
Feb. 9 New Hampshire 23
11/8
3/8
4/11
2/10
Feb. 20 South Carolina 50
50/41
0/50
0/6
0/6
Feb. 23 Nevada 30
14/13
6/11
1/10
7/11
March 1 Alabama 50
36/19
13/26
0/7
1/13
Alaska 28
11/9
12/12
0/9
5/12
Arkansas 40
16/14
15/21
0/6
9/12
Georgia 76
42/25
18/41
0/18
16/26
Massachusetts 42
22/20
4/12
8/21
8/16
Minnesota 38
8/12
13/13
0/14
17/14
Oklahoma 43
13/15
15/19
0/8
12/14
Tennessee 58
33/20
16/31
0/9
9/14
Texas 155
48/67
104/104
0/31
3/53
Vermont 16
8/7
0/5
8/8
0/7
Virginia 49
17/17
8/18
5/19
16/22
March 5 Kansas 40
9/16
24/20
1/10
6/13
Kentucky 46
17/21
15/20
7/10
7/17
Louisiana 46
18/23
18/22
0/8
5/14
Maine 23
9/9
12/9
2/11
0/10
March 6 Puerto Rico 23
0/8
0/8
0/15
23/15
March 8 Hawaii 19
11/7
7/9
0/10
1/10
Idaho 32
12/10
20/13
0/9
0/15
Michigan 59
25/25
17/22
17/22
0/23
Mississippi 40
25/17
15/19
0/7
0/13
March 10 Virgin Islands 9
1/0
1/0
0/9
2/9
March 12 District of Columbia 19
0/7
0/7
9/10
10/8
Guam 9
0/3
0/3
0/6
0/6
March 15 Florida 99
99/99
0/99
0/99
0/99
Illinois 69
54/39
9/18
6/60
0/63
Missouri 52
37/42
15/52
0/5
0/10
North Carolina 72
29/26
27/29
9/25
6/30
Northern Marianas 9
9/0
0/0
0/9
0/9
Ohio 66
0/66
0/66
66/66
0/0
March 22 American Samoa 9
0/3
0/3
0/6
—/6
Arizona 58
58/58
0/58
0/58
—/58
Utah 40
0/9
40/17
0/11
—/20
April 1 North Dakota 28
0/10
0/10
0/9
—/12
April 5 Wisconsin 42
6/18
36/33
0/39
—/42
April 9 Colorado 37
0/11
30/17
0/15
—/16
April 16 Wyoming 29
1/10
23/11
0/7
—/13
April 19 New York 95
90/58
0/6
5/45
—/55
April 26 Connecticut 28
/15
/4
/21
—/11
Delaware 16
/16
/0
/16
—/16
Maryland 38
/17
/3
/32
—/35
Pennsylvania 71
/40
/19
/48
—/45
Rhode Island 19
/9
/4
/10
—/7
May 3 Indiana 57
/51
/57
/9
—/6
May 10 Nebraska 36
/0
/36
/36
—/36
West Virginia 34
/34
/34
/0
—/0
May 17 Oregon 28
/9
/11
/13
—/13
May 24 Washington 44
/15
/16
/16
—/16
June 7 California 172
/81
/30
/151
—/157
Montana 27
/0
/27
/27
—/27
New Jersey 51
/51
/0
/51
—/0
New Mexico 24
/7
/12
/9
—/11
South Dakota 29
/0
/29
/29
—/29
TOTAL 2,472
846/892
544/955
149/769
173/828
Methodology

These interactive charts show which candidate is on target to win the Republican nomination and which ones are falling behind. They are based on our estimate of how many delegates Donald Trump, Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz would need in each primary and caucus to win a simple majority of the 2,472 convention delegates at the Republican National Convention.

We reached these estimates by developing benchmarks for each state in the form of a baseline estimate of the candidates’ support. These are based on an examination of polling data, including state-by-state polling from Morning Consult, a nonpartisan polling and media firm that has surveyed more than 7,000 Republicans online since Jan. 1, along with other surveys from Jan. 1 through Feb. 25 from the FiveThirtyEight polling database.

These estimates are also informed by states’ demographic data and social media data. In contrast to our Democratic estimates, which are determined strictly by a formula, there is some degree of subjectivity in this process; we looked at a number of factors with the goal of finding consensus in the data. In particular, we used the Census Bureau’s 2014 American Community Survey to model geographic support for Trump and Rubio based on proportions of residents with at least a college degree in each state (the lower the better for Trump, the higher the better for Rubio — an observation bolstered by exit polls and real votes thus far). We also referenced the Pew Research Center’s Religious Landscape Study to model Cruz’s geographic support based on shares of evangelical Protestants in each state (the higher the better for Cruz). We examined the number of Facebook “likes” for each candidate in each state, as well as patterns in Google searches: Trump performs better in states where Google searches indicate a high degree of racial animus.

Next, we plugged each candidate’s baseline level of support into each state’s delegate allocation rules (for example, proportional vs. winner-take-all) to evaluate how votes would translate into delegates. Then, we gradually and proportionally adjusted each candidate’s level of support until the candidate reached 1,237 delegates nationally. Note that because there are three top GOP contenders each vying for a majority, the sum of the candidate targets in each state often exceeds the total number of delegates available in that state.

Little data exists to model candidate support in American Samoa, Guam, Northern Marianas, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. However, in 2008 and 2012, these territories gave almost all their support to the “establishment” candidate, so we assumed each territory would give two-thirds of its support to Rubio. Furthermore, note that all of North Dakota’s delegates and most of Pennsylvania’s delegates will be unbound to a single Republican candidate. (Some delegates from other states and territories will be unbound as well.) We assumed these delegates would vote in proportion to candidates’ estimated support shares in their states.

CORRECTION (March 16, 1 p.m.): A previous version of this article mischaracterized the delegate rules for Colorado and Wyoming. Delegates from those states may choose, before being elected, to be bound to a candidate or to be unbound; the two states will not necessarily send most or all of their delegates to the convention unbound.

American Jewish Committee Criticizes Sanders’ Comparison of Baltimore to West Bank

NEW YORK, NY /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ — The American Jewish Committee (AJC) criticized Senator Bernie Sanders for comparing socio-economic conditions in Baltimore to Palestinian communities in the West Bank.

“What do the serious issues Baltimore’s leadership and population are confronting have to do with daily Palestinian life in the West Bank?” stated AJC CEO David Harris.

“Inserting the Israeli-Palestinian conflict into unrelated American political discourse serves only one purpose, to encourage those who are narrowly focused on assailing Israel for any shortcomings, failings by the Palestinian Authority,” Harris said.

“Furthermore, according to CIA statistics, infant mortality in the West Bank, at 13.08 deaths per 1,000 live births, actually compares favorably to most of the developing world,” said Harris. “Turkey’s rate is 18.87, Brazil’s is 18.60, and Iran’s is 38.04. The U.S. infant mortality rate, at 5.87, is far from where it should be, behind the United Kingdom, at 4.38, Australia at 4.37, France at 3.28, and Israel at 3.55.”

Sanders made his remarks during an address in Maryland ahead of Tuesday’s primary election. “People don’t know this. If you are born in Baltimore’s poorest neighborhoods, your life expectancy is almost twenty years shorter than if you are born in a wealthier neighborhood,” said Sanders, adding that “two [neighborhoods] have a higher infant mortality rate than the West Bank in Palestine.”

In addition, Harris continued, “life expectancy in the West Bank, according to the CIA World Factbook, exceeds that of Egypt and Jordan, not to mention many other countries.”

ABOUT THE AMERICAN JEWISH COMMITTEE

American Jewish Committee is a 501(c)(3) organization that neither supports nor opposes candidates for public office. AJC is the oldest civil rights organization in the United States, founded 110 years ago.

EDITORS NOTE: The featured image of Bernie Sanders is by AP/Keith Srakocic.

Why Donald Trump Should Be the Nation’s ‘#1 Pick’ in November

KAPA COVER DONALD TRUMPCORAL SPRINGS, Fla. /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ — A new article from Kapa Publishing makes a strong case for putting Donald J Trump in the White House. “People’s Review: Trump for President” is available on the company’s homepage.

“The wasteful spending in this country has reached critical mass and we need to get it under control,” argues Kapa. “There’s not one politician that has the know-how, strength or boldness to get it done. We need to give Donald J Trump the opportunity to help us make America great again.”

Kapa’s article outlines Donald J Trump’s platform in great detail, looking at all of its major components: Healthcare, Veteran Affairs, Second Amendment Rights, Infrastructure, Taxes, Education and Immigration.

Healthcare

Kapa points to wasteful spending and the excessive influence of Big Pharma and insurance companies as the reason why Americans’ healthcare is so expensive. He suggests Trump, as a political outsider and successful businessman, will be unafraid to rock the boat and deliver real change to a broken system.

Veteran Affairs

Veterans should never have to worry about finding a job or getting healthcare upon their return to the United States. Trump’s platform details how he will achieve this and other objectives that will benefit the nation’s brave soldiers.

Second Amendment Rights

Trump has voiced support for the simple, sane answer to gun violence – universal background checks – but “politics as usual” has prevented its passage, says Kapa. Furthermore, background checks don’t infringe on citizens’ Second Amendment rights, as do some of the more radical proposals.

Infrastructure

As a successful real estate developer, Trump understands the critical importance of modern, well-maintained infrastructure. Investing in roads and bridges could revitalize the nation’s economy, but Washington has neglected this obvious solution over and over again.

Taxes

The nation’s tax code is 70,000 pages long, and the corporate tax rate of 40% is driving job creators overseas. Kapa proposes that cheap labor is only a small part of the issue. With a Trump-led overhaul of the tax code, corporations will return in droves, bringing jobs, opportunity and innovation back to this county.

Education

“Nothing in this world is free,” explains Kapa, “and anyone hoping for free education or healthcare will get a surprise when the tax man comes calling.” Trump, on the other hand, is pushing to make quality education more affordable by trimming wasteful and frivolous projects.

Immigration

The current immigration process hasn’t changed in decades, and it’s most punishing to those trying to become citizens the right way. Because he’s not concerned with votes and election cycles, Trump is able to introduce a new process that guards the borders while making immigration less exhausting for law-abiding, hard-working foreign nationals.

ABOUT KAPA PUBLISHING, LLC

Based in Coral Springs, Florida, Kapa Publishing, LLC publishes work from local artists and writers.

Cruz’s “Natural Born” Eligibility: Law Professor Sends Open Letter to RNC in Florida

BETHESDA, Md. /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ — Ted Cruz continues to tell the biggest lie ever in American politics – that he is constitutionally eligible to be President.  If Cruz is nominated, Washington, D.C.Law Professor Victor Williams warns that the Democrats will forcefully challenge Cruz’s obvious ineligibility in every one of the 50 states.

Cruz’s falsehood is of constitutional proportions.  In order to gain ballot access, Ted Cruz has repeated the Big Lie many times over to 50 state election officials – the eligibility lie was made in writing and under oath.

Having told the Big Lie so often for so long, has Cruz now convinced himself of eligibility?  No – Cruz knows the truth and so do Democrats.

Victor  Williams continues  to campaign as a “write-in” presidential candidate, while prosecuting ballot fraud charges against Ted Cruz, in the remaining primary states. www.VictorWilliamsforPresident.com

U.S. CONSTITUTION’S ARTICLE II, SECTION 1:  An Age Exam and Two Soil Tests 

By his own adult admission, little baby Teddy Cruz came into the world a natural-born Canadian.

As every American school child knows, the Constitution’s Article II, Section 1 requires an age exam and two soil tests for the presidency. First a candidate must be 35 years old.  A candidate must have been a 14- year resident on the American soil and he must first have been born on that same, sacred American soil. The two soil tests insure the Commander-in-Chief will have exclusive allegiance to America.

Cruz was a loyal-Canadian-citizen until May 2014.

VICTOR WILLIAMS’ OPEN LETTER: Pennsylvania, Maryland, and the RNC

If Cruz is nominated, Democrats, like Alan Grayson, have pledged to immediately sue.  Scores of millions of dollars will be thrown into multiple litigation efforts to disqualify Cruz.

Williams’ Open Letter tells Pennsylvania’s unbound 54 Delegates (not to be pledged on April 26) that a vote for Cruz in July is a vote for Hillary Clinton in November.

Williams’ Open Letter also asks all unpledged RNC member-delegates — returning from their Florida Spring Meeting  — to face reality:  The Clinton war-machine will destroy Ted Cruz on the eligibility issue.

Williams’ Open Letter also addresses his fellow Marylanders who vote on April 26.  As Maryland’s early filing deadline prevented his candidacy in his adopted-beloved home state, Professor Williams will proudly cast hisMaryland vote for Donald J. Trump.  Williams urges his Maryland neighbors to help him keep Ted Cruz in a distant third place.

ROUND TWO of the WILLIAMS v. CRUZ FIGHT: California After New Jersey   

In New Jersey, Victor Williams’s legal team is now moving the Cruz challenge from the Secretary of State to the Appellate Division of the New Jersey judiciary.  Soon, in delegate-rich California, Williams will open a Pacific front against Cruz.

ABOUT VICTOR WILLIAMS 

Victor Williams is a Washington, D.C. attorney, long-time law professor, prolific author, and 2014 founder of www.disruptivejustice.org.

Florida Resident sues the Republican Establishment to Validate Sunshine State’s Primary Vote

WASHINGTON, D.C. /PRNewswire/ — Florida resident Larry Klayman, a former U.S. Justice Department prosecutor who is the founder of Freedom Watch, has sued the Republican establishment, Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, the Republican National Committee, the Republican Party of Florida and party and election officers including the Florida Secretary of State for conspiring to defraud Florida Republican voters of their vote in the Florida Republican Primary previously held on March 15, 2016.

While the winner of that vote was presidential candidate Donald Trump, as alleged in the complaint it was not filed to support Donald Trump or any other candidacy. Rather, the complaint, which asked for declaratory relief prior to the Republican National Convention in July 2016, is intended to validate the vote of Republican voters and not allow the Republican establishment to pervert the nomination process by not having their vote count.

CLICK HERE TO READ THE FREEDOM WATCH COMPLAINT

It has been widely reported and in fact admitted by the Defendants and others that the Republican elites want to take away the right of the people to decide who should be the Republican Party nominee and insert one of their own establishment hacks, someone like widely-discredited Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, who just caved into President Obama during the budget process.

Klayman states:

It has even been reported by The Washington Post that the Republican establishment is busy attempting to in effect bribe delegates so they can nominate one of their own like Ryan or someone else who will further their power and money gravy train in Washington, D.C. This complaint, the first of its kind, will set a precedent for Republican voters in other states to take similar actions to preserve the sanctity of their primary vote.

While I am a Florida citizen and voted in the Florida Republican Primary, the complaint and the predicted declaratory judgment in my favor and for all Florida Republican voters will set a precedent nationwide.

We cannot allow Republican establishment party hacks to take away our constitutional right.

ABOUT FREEDOM WATCH

Freedom Watch is the only political advocacy group that speaks through actions, rather than just words. We are dedicated to not only preserving freedom, but redefining its meaning, from protecting our rights to privacy, free speech, civil liberties, and freedom from foreign oil and crooked business, labor and government officials, to protecting our national sovereignty against the incompetent, terrorist state-controlled United Nations, and reestablishing the rule of law in what has become a very corrupt American legal system, where justice is only as good as your lawyer and judge—most of whom are compromised ethically and otherwise.

In the image of John Adams, our second and one of our finest presidents, without ethics, morality, and religion, there will be no lasting freedom. Using these principles, President Ronald Reagan, centuries later, took on the “evil empire” of the Soviet Union and established some freedom even in that communist state. He restored pride and vision to this country in the process.

Learn more about Freedom Watch.

RELATED ARTICLE: Leaked Trump Campaign Memo Reveals Big Delegate Prediction

ACLU New Jersey gets it right: Defends Man Ticketed For Flying Trump Flag

WEST LONG BRANCH, N.J. /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ — The ACLU of New Jersey and Eric D. Sherman, a partner with New York-based law firm Pryor Cashman, have teamed up to defend the rights of a man who was ticketed under an unconstitutional West Long Branch ordinance for flying flags supporting Donald Trump.

articel-2flag-0421

View of “Trump — Make America Great Again” flag flying from Joseph Hornick’s New Jersey home. Photo: CBS News Channel 3.

Joseph Hornick was cited under a policy that forbids the display of political signs until 30 days before an election. Hornick’s flags read, “Trump – Make America Great Again!” Hornick stated:

I am a proud, passionate Donald Trump supporter, and I would be willing to pay any fine in exchange for my free speech, or even serve jail time if it comes to that – but as an American, I shouldn’t have to pay that kind of price for expressing my beliefs. I shouldn’t be punished for exercising my constitutional right to free speech. I’m not breaking the law by flying my Trump flags; rather, the borough is breaking the law by having this unconstitutional ordinance on the books.

My Trump flags are not coming down. And now, I’m even more determined to keep them flying.

West Long Branch, in Monmouth County, first ticketed Hornick on March 25 for flying his Trump flags after Hornick had communicated with the police department about theft and vandalism of his banners. When police officers arrived, they cited Hornick under an ordinance restricting when political signs can be displayed. Generally, the First Amendment does not allow blanket bans on certain types of speech, even for limited durations, especially when it’s based on content.

“There’s no ordinance that can overrule the Constitution,” said ACLU-NJ Deputy Legal Director Jeanne LoCicero. “It doesn’t matter whether it’s a lawn sign or a flag – you have the right to express your political beliefs every day of the year, no matter how close it is to Election Day. West Long Branch needs to realize that unless it takes this policy off the books, it’s violating the Constitution.”

New Jersey holds its primary election for the presidential nomination on June 7, which means that West Long Branch’s unconstitutional policy would ban the display of political signs until May 9. Violating the ordinance, according to the town, could carry a $2,000 fine or 90 days in jail.

Joe Hornick has every right to fly his Trump flags, and West Long Branch has every responsibility to let him,” said attorney Eric D. Sherman, who represents Hornick. “We should not let stand those laws that restrict free speech, especially political speech in an election year. Such laws violate the Constitution and offend our notions of what it means to be an American.”

Hornick has a municipal court appearance that is now scheduled for May 18.

“Year after year, we are informed of unlawful sign restrictions, and we need to threaten suit to get towns to act,” said ACLU-NJ Legal Director Ed Barocas. “Towns throughout New Jersey need to review their sign ordinances to make sure they don’t include unlawful restrictions. It is time to make our ordinances constitutional again.”

ABOUT THE ACLU NEW JERSEY

The ACLU-NJ has successfully challenged restrictions on the timing of political signs in the past, including through the representation of a Ron Paul supporter who was prohibited from displaying his sign by the Borough of Hawthorne, in Bergen County, in 2008.

Visit the ACLU-NJ website to read more about previous sign-restriction advocacy in Hawthorne (Bergen County), Shrewsbury (Monmouth County), and Wyckoff (Bergen County).

EDITORS NOTE: The featured image is of the “Trump — Make America Great Again” flag flying from Joseph Hornick’s New Jersey home. Photo: CBS NEWS 2

A Citizen’s Political Ad Highlights ‘The Children of Donald J. Trump’

trump-family-presidential-candidateGarin C. Hoover, BA, JD, created a political ad titled, “The Children of Donald J. Trump: A Big Asset in this Presidential Race.”

Hoover states,:

“Most of the time children are a reflection of the parents. Look at Donald J. Trump’s children. They are smart, respectful and mature. They are a reflection of Donald J. Trump!”

Trump’s children are daughters Ivanka and Tiffany and sons Barron, Eric and Donald, Jr.

Watch Hoover’s ad, a personal statement about Donald Trump and his children:

RELATED ARTICLE: Perspective: The Trump Phenomena, a Reluctant Convert by William Michaels

German Political Party Considers Openly Anti-Muslim Platform

A faction within ‘Alternative fur Deutschland’ wants to adopt an openly anti-Islamic stance at the party conference on April 30.

A German political party is considering adopting an openly anti-Islam stance. A faction within the ‘Alternative fur Deutschland’ party has called for a total ban on the Burqa and minarets on mosques, arguing that Islam is not a normal religion and therefore is not covered by constitutional protections for religious freedom.

“Islam is not a religion like Catholic or Protestant Christianity, but rather always associated intellectually with the takeover of a state,” the party’s leader in Brandenburg state Alexander Gauland in an interview with Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung, reported Deutsche Welle.

Beatrix-Von-Storch-640

Beatrix von Storch, deputy leader of ‘Alternative Fur Deutschland’ (Photo: © Reuters)

The party’s deputy leader, Beatrix von Storch, said “Islam is a political ideology that is not compatible with the constitution.”

AfD also reportedly wants to ban male circumcision. The party’s manifesto will be finalized before its conference on April 30.

Repositioning to be openly anti-Islam marks a break with the party’s previous anti-immigration stance and may be pushed through at the upcoming party conference. The party leader, Frauke Petry, is opposd to the shift according to the Telegraph. 

Alternative Fur Deutschland (AfD) has under 5% of the vote, but has gained seats in some regional assemblies. Its leader, Bernd Lücke, is a member of the European Parliament.

AfD’s proposals have been slammed as racist and drawn comparisons to the Nazi Party.

See Clarion Project’s statement opposing anti-Muslim bigotry.

RELATED ARTICLES:

The Politics of Pork in Germany

Christians Under Threat in German Refugee Centers

German Police Conduct ISIS-Linked Raids in Mainz

Europe’s Climate of Denial: Sexual Assaults and Vigilante Groups

Building Trades Unions to Sanders: Stop ‘the rhetoric and misguided attacks’

WASHINGTON, D.C. /PRNewswire/ — The following statement was issued today by North America’s Building Trades Unions in response to Sanders surrogate Ben Jealous’ comments to CNN’s Wolf Blitzer on construction workers.

“The rhetoric and misguided attacks from the Sanders campaign and its surrogates continues to sink to new lows. A speech before 3,000 Building Trades union members was characterized by top Sanders campaign surrogate Ben Jealous as a nefarious meeting with “donors.” The fact is, the proud men and women of the Building Trades are voters, and the only thing they have donated or contributed is their love of the country as they ply their craft building and rebuilding communities across this great nation.

“The Building Trades were honored to welcome Secretary Clinton and call on the Sanders campaign to stop the gimmicks and the desperate vitriol and get back to what truly matters to voters. What mattered to the hard hats in the room today was hearing a positive vision and dedication to the hard work to move this country forward by the next President of the United States, Hillary Rodham Clinton.”

ABOUT NORTH AMERICA’S BUILDING TRADES UNIONS

North America’s Building Trades Unions is an alliance of 14 national and international unions in the building and construction industry that collectively represent over 3 million skilled craft professionals in the United States and Canada. Each year, our unions and our signatory contractor partners invest over $1 billion in private sector money to fund and operate over 1,900 apprenticeship training and education facilities across North America that produce the safest, most highly trained and productive skilled craft workers found anywhere in the world.

Visit www.Facebook.com/NorthAmericasBuildingTradesUnions or on Twitter @BldgTrdsUnions.

The Ted Cruz Canadian Citizenship — A New Look

The eligibility of Ted Cruz has been and is still being called into question.   The question will never be answered until it gets answered either by supposition, or by the courts.  Plus, these questions were brought to bear in the 1800s and decided by the Supreme Court during that 100 year period.

In this paper, I am going to try something different in presenting this case of the eligibility of Ted Cruz, by introducing this paper with some paragraphs from The Presidency Manifesto of Ted Cruz:

“If I were to be elected as your President, it would not be according to how it should be but would be according to how it became with the unconstitutional election of Barack Hussein Obama Soetoro.  You see, I, like him, am not a ‘a natural born citizen’ as the Constitution requires of a President.”

“I was not born as a natural citizen of the United States of America because my father was a Cuban national (living in exile due to his opposition to the policies of Fidel Castro and his communist government) just as Barack Obama was not a natural citizen because his father was a subject of the British government, – being governed, along with his children, by the British Nationality Act of 1948.”

“But not being ‘a natural born citizen’ did not keep his party from illegitimately nominating him to be their presidential candidate…”  “Well as they say… two can play that game…” – Written by Adrien Nash as Ted Cruz (November 2014)

These paragraphs are essentially true as it pertains to birth place and the term “natural born citizen”.  The writer laid out Ted Cruz’s ineligibility by equating it to President Obama with the exception of stating that Ted Cruz openly stated he was born in Calgary, Canada.

According to Rafael Cruz, in 1970, when Ted Cruz was born in Canada, Cruz Senior stated that they lived in Canada for at least four years and had applied for and received Canadian citizenship under the Canadian Immigration and Naturalization Laws.  Rafael Cruz did not renounce his Canadian citizenship until 2005.  His wife and son were still Canadian citizens (Politicalconundrum, 2015).

Prior to the Cruz family moving to the United States in 1974, Eleanor and Raphael Cruz appeared on the “Urban Preliminary List Of Electors” (Atkinson, 1974).  To vote, one must be a citizen and during an interview with NPR, Cruz stated, he and Eleanor are Canadian citizens.

The Canadian Citizenship Act of 1946, or commonly called, “Act of 1947”.  This Act fully defines him as a Canadian citizen.  Parliament, later replaced the Act of 1947 with The Citizenship Act, February 1977.  The Citizenship Act also recognized, “dual citizenship”.  If the situation was more of an ideal situation, the best Ted Cruz could get is dual citizenship.  According to Cruz Senior, both Eleanor and he were Canadian citizens the year Ted Cruz was born.  The end result, this “The Citizenship Act” does not apply to Ted because he is a natural born Canadian.

People have been searching the Delaware, Department of Health database for Ted Cruz’s mother and they are finding a “no record exists”.  The reason why Eleanor Elizabeth Darragh Wilson Cruz birth certificate in Delaware does not exist is because there is no birth certificate for this name.  On Line 2, full name of child: Eleanor Darragh.  On Line 31, the father verified baby Eleanor, by writing Eleanor Darragh.  Using any other search string will not yield any results for Eleanor Darragh.

According to the Chart, Citizenship at Birth for Children Born Outside the U.S. and its Territories, as indicated in the USCIS Policy Manual does not apply.  If Eleanor Cruz had maintained her US citizenship, then the chart would apply.  Also, based on The Three Legged Stool Test… the first leg, to be a natural born citizen, the person must be born of US Parents.  The second leg, is the father must be natural born, or naturalized and the third leg, the mother, is the same as the second leg (Kerchner, 2013).  This test fails at every question asked.

While courts are deciding in Ted Cruz’s favor, the lower courts are not paying attention to the Supreme Court’s decisions on citizenship.  There have been four decisions in the 1800s that has settled the natural born citizenship challenges.  Although, the SCOTUS did not specifically say “natural born citizen”, they have supplied a definition what a natural born citizen is.  These four cases were:

  • The Venus, 12 U.S. Cranch 253 253 (1814)
  • Shanks v. Dupont, 28 U.S. 3 Pet. 242 242 (1830)
  • Minor v. Happersett, 88 U.S. 162 (1875)
  • United States v. Wong Kim Ark, 169 U.S. 649 (1898)

Covering each one briefly, one will notice how closely these decisions are made.

The Venus (1814)

Justice Livingston quoted from the book, Law of Nations, specifically, Book 1, Chapter 19, Section 212.  “The citizens are members of the civil society; bound to this society by certain duties, and subject to its authority, they equally participate in its advantages”.  “The natives or indigenes are those born in the country of parents who are citizens…”

Shanks v. Dupont (1830)

“If she was not of age, then she might well be deemed under the circumstances of this case to hold citizenship of her father, for children born in a country, continuing while under age in the family of the father, partake of his national character as a citizen of that country”.

Minor v. Happersett (1875)

“At common law, with the nomenclature of which the framers of the Constitution were familiar, it was never doubted that all children born in a country of parents who were citizens became themselves, upon their birth, citizens also.  These were natives or natural-born citizens, …”

United States v. Wong Kim Ark (1898)

“At common law, with the nomenclature of which the framers of the Constitution were familiar, it was never doubted that all children born in a country of parents who were citizens became themselves, upon their birth, citizens also.  These were natives or natural-born citizens, …”

With the basis of these Supreme Court decisions, the written conclusion as stated by the unknown author at Four Winds 10 – Truth Winds:  “In this sense, the Supreme Court of the United States has never applied the term ‘natural born citizen’ to any other category than those born in the country of parents who are citizens thereof”.  (June 2011)

The Calvin Case, 7 Coke Report states, “… for he cannot be a subject born of one kingdom that was born under the ligeance of a King of another kingdom, …”  (Roland, 2016).  George Bancroft in 1884, characterized the debate on qualifications for the Presidency, … “that no person except a natural-born citizen, or a citizen of the United States at the time of the adoption of this Constitution, should be eligible to the office of president, …”  The numerous colonies in the 1600s and 1700s were using the language of “natural-born”.  (Roland, 2016)

While eligibility challenges are ongoing, Jerome R. Corsi (2016), penned an article, Eligibility challenges heat up for Cruz, Rubio.  The argument in question is that Mary Brigid McManamon argued that Ted Cruz is not eligible to be president, whereas, John C. Eastman argued that Ted Cruz is eligible.  Eastman was referencing the bill that was passed in 1790.  This bill was later replaced in 1795.

During the research for this paper, there are a few things that need to be pointed out.  Most of this paper entailed reiterating what others have said.  This commentary should highlight the things necessary that proves Ted Cruz is not eligible for the Office of the Presidency.

Through articles and other documents, this research concludes that Ted Cruz, in fact, was born in Calgary, Alberta, Canada as a “natural born citizen” without the inclines of dual citizenship.  Eleanor Elizabeth Darragh Wilson Cruz was in fact born in Wilmington, DE, but not under that name.  She was born with the name of Eleanor Darragh and her father verified the name by writing it on the birth certificate.

Most of the iterations in this paper primarily support each other, to include the Law of Nations stating that a child born in a country of parents who were its citizens became themselves, upon their birth, citizens also.

Further investigation indicated Senator Ted Cruz has some very distinct problems he must resolve, yet, he can never be eligible for the Office of the President.  While many have heard and read this claim, they brushed it aside, due to information that has been missed, or purposely left out.

Too much weight has been placed on Eleanor’s birth certificate that would qualify him as a US Citizen.  The reality is Ted Cruz was never a citizen of the United States, or at the least a dual citizen; in fact it is neither.  His citizenship has always been Canadian.

There has been no Consulate Report of Birth Abroad, because neither parent could legally file one.  The argument tends to repeat itself because of the mother’s birth certificate.  It is true, she was born in Delaware, but that is far as it goes.

To qualify my statement that Ted Cruz is a “Natural born Canadian citizen”, an interview was conducted by National Public Radio (NPR) with Rafael B. Cruz, Ted’s father.  Referencing timeline, 1970, Rafael Cruz stated that he and Eleanor applied for and received Canadian citizenship under the Immigration and Naturalization laws.  Timeline, February, 2015, there is no evidence of US citizenship to confirm his true citizenship status.  Ted Cruz, by way of his father had been confirmed that he is a Canadian citizen.

What does this mean for Ted Cruz?  Let me place this as bullet points.

  • In 2014, he renounced his Canadian citizenship.
  • He is a resident alien.
  • He is illegally holding a political office as a Senator.
  • Since 2014, he has been a person without a country.
  • Ted Cruz’s family, specifically his children are not natural born citizens.

If we follow the decision that was handed down in the Shanks v Dupont (1830), if under age children follows the national character of their father, the children do not and cannot carry any part of their Canadian citizenship – even though Ted Cruz is half-Cuban – since their father renounced his Canadian citizenship.  It will be up to the mother to get these children naturalized to the United States.

Ted Cruz, when he discovered that he was still a Canadian, he needed to apply for citizenship to the United States.  The members of the US Senate will be well within their means to expel Ted Cruz from the senate due to his citizenship status.

In the final analysis, Ted Cruz is not a natural born citizen.  He is not even a citizen of the United States.  The best category he can fit into is, resident alien.  Ted Cruz had sealed his records; birth records, family records.  The last question is where did Ted Cruz get his passport in 1986?  This may be an interest for someone who wants to dig a little deeper.

Accusations Against Trump Advisor by Islamists Proven False

The ‘case’ against Walid Phares has been shattered, as has been the credibility of the media outlets who put their political agenda ahead of the truth.

Islamists and their hyper-partisan media allies have been waging a smear campaign against foreign policy expert Dr. Walid Phares, who is advising Donald Trump and previously advised Mitt Romney. Now, the so-called “case” against Phares is in flames, burning the credibility of the media outlets and commentators who chose to put their political motivations ahead of the truth.

The character assassination campaign against Phares uncoincidentally pops up around presidential election time. It has two main pillars:  That Phares is somehow responsible for massacres by Lebanese Christian militias and that he’s an “Islamophobe,” despite his close working relationships with many Muslims including one who wrote an article titled “Walid Phares: A Hero to Muslim Liberals.”

False Claims that Phares’ Hands are Covered with the Blood of the Innocent

The first absurd line of attack is simply a regurgitation of a Mother Jones article by Adam Serwer that claims Phares was linked to a Christian extremist militia in Lebanon before he emigrated to the U.S. in 1990 and taught extremism that is responsible for its massacres.

In Lebanon, Phares became known for his advocacy of democratic pluralism, writing his first book about it age 22 in 1979. He also led a small political party in East Beirut named the Social Democratic Party. The Christians of Lebanon—the good, the bad and the ugly—united in the face of the brutal civil war. The political parties formed a coalition under the name of the Lebanese Front that included his small party and he served as its foreign affairs chief for two years in 1986.

Phares’ colleague in the coalition was Dr. Charles Malik, a former president of the U.N. General Assembly and co-author of the International Charter of Human Rights.

The military component—the militias—were collectively known as the Lebanese Forces. Phares did not issue even one order to them. He did not join one battle. He did not provide one gun. And there’s no record that he ever justified the massacres or urged human rights abuses by anyone.

Just the opposite, he called for a federal secular system and launched a workers’ union, a student group and a minorities federation. His push for democracy within the community where he was born and raised resulted in him being kidnapped by militiamen upset with his articles. He says he was often threatened by these militias until the day he left the country.

Unable to connect him to the massacres by actually connecting him to the massacres, the author of the piece says he provoked the bloodshed by supporting the creation of a Lebanese Christian state, as most Lebanese Christians wanted. By that standard, any supporter of an independent Israeli, Palestinian or Kurdish state is responsible for massacres committed in the name of the cause.

And now here’s the kicker: The article partially relies on the words of Toni Nissi, who has just published a letter expressing that he is “appalled and totally disgusted” at how his words were manipulated. He says the author, Adam Serwer, interviewed him for four hours, supposedly for a “documentary” about Lebanon. Three sentences then showed up in his article that—according to Nissi—”maliciously distorted the form and core of what was discussed in a cheap and repulsive attempt to attack Professor Walid Phares.”

When you examine the original Mother Jones article, you don’t have a well-researched informative article. You have about 2,500 words of throwing enough crap at the wall in the hopes that some of it sticks (to put it a bit more politely).

Phares isn’t to blame for the massacres of innocent Muslims in Lebanon—so what about all the repetitious chants of “Islamophobe?”

A So-Called “Islamophobe” Who Advocates for Muslim Human Rights and Freedom

“Islamophobe” is the favored slur favored slur of Islamist groups like the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) and apologists for the Iranian regime and their media allies to whom they feed biased stories.

Phares criticizes CAIR’s leaders for things like being linked to the Muslim Brotherhood and discussing how to use deception when they didn’t know the FBI was recording them. CAIR responds by calling him an “Islamophobe.”

CAIR was even once caught teaching an audience to take advantage of how the “media in the United States is very gullible” and “especially, as a Muslim, if you have something to say, they will come running to you.” CAIR said to exploit the fact that the media “does little primary research” and “they will expect you to do their work. Let them.”

Dr. Phares’ Rolodex is filled with the contact information for liberal Muslims who oppose Islamism and communicate with him regularly. A central pillar of his worldview is that there’s an intersection between U.S. national security interests and human rights in the Muslim world — where the West must align with Muslims who seek genuine democratic reform and peace. His message of empowering Muslims is the polar opposite of bigotry or “Islamophobia” — in fact, it is part of the antidote.

Facts and fair-mindedness are of no concern to Islamists who have long used “Islamophobia” as a political weapon, even against Muslims who stand in their way. Nor are facts and fair-mindedness of much concern to hyper-partisans who facilitate their agenda by deceptively carving the country into categories of ally and enemy.

If those shouting “Islamophobia” actually were concerned about anti-Muslim sentiment, they’d exhale a sigh of relief that he has the ears of GOP presidential candidates.

The vindication of Dr. Walid Phares is a sad testament to the state of today’s politics. An influential ally for many Muslims, at home and abroad, had his named tarred by Islamists and hyper-partisans whose excitement over political dynamite subsumes any impulse to do responsible fact-checking and critical thinking.

The campaign against Phares is a microcosm of a broader growing problem in America where hyper-partisanship and political correctness have made it extremely difficult to have a meaningful, nuanced conversation about the Islamist threat.

Those who try put themselves at professional risk. And the Islamists and their allies are exploiting these weaknesses in the West’s political discourse every step of the way.

ABOUT RYAN MAURO

Ryan Mauro is ClarionProject.org’s national security analyst, a fellow with Clarion Project and an adjunct professor of homeland security. Mauro is frequently interviewed on top-tier television and radio. Read more, contact or arrange a speaking engagement.

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Sanders Campaign Releases Ad Slamming Anti-Muslim Bigotry

Tackling anti-Muslim bigotry and challenging Islamism are complementary rather than contradictory ideas.

Democratic Presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders released a new campaign video April 18 directly addressing anti-Muslim bigotry in the United States.

Entitled Love Trumps Hate, Sanders argues hatred against Muslims is used in contemporary American political discourse as a sop to distract people from the real problems of wealth inequality and injustice.

He specifically targets Donald Trump in the ad, saying “demagogues like Trump who come along as say ‘I know what the cause of your problem is’.”

“Today it is Muslims, you won’t remember how many years ago we were younger it was the uppity women who were trying to take our jobs as men, it was blacks who wanted to take white jobs that’s what demagoguery is about.”

Sanders is perceived by many as the only candidate in the race addressing concerns that the Muslim community has about rising anti-Muslim bigotry in America. Integration is an important part of the struggle against Islamism and Sanders’ attempts to reach out to the Muslim community are important in promoting that.

Others perceive him as pandering to Islamist apologists. He has met with activists who have spoken out in defense of Muslim Brotherhood affiliate Hamas. The Director of Jews for Bernie, Daniel Sieradski, even praised Hamas, writing “Great insight is to be gained from the remarks of Hamas’ founder, Sheikh Ahemd Yassin, himself, which are much more down-to-earth and pragmatic than any portrayal of Hamas in the right-wing oriented media” according toFrontPage Magazine.

He met with and was endorsed by the head of the Arab-American Association of New York, Linda Sarsour, an organization supported by the Qatar Foundation. The foundation is linked to the Qatari government and the Muslim Brotherhood. Sarsour’s brother-in-law is serving a 12-year sentence in an Israeli prison for involvement with Hamas.

Sanders has taken stances to oppose Islamist extremism as well, currently backing a bill which would enable victims of 9/11 to sue the government of Saudi Arabia over the gulf kingdom’s role in the al-Qaeda attack on the World Trade Center in 2001. All other candidates have also backed the bill, except John Kasich who has not yet commented.

Other candidates have focused specifically on the national-security dimension of Muslim integration.

Senator Ted Cruz recently caused controversy by calling for increased patrols of Muslim-majority areas by law enforcement. In December, Trump called for “total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States until our country’s representatives can figure out what is going on.”

Genuine concerns about Islamism must not lead one to fall prey to anti-Muslim bigotry against American Muslims as a whole. Sanders’ advert shows that side of the debate.

Tackling this issue as either “pro- or anti-Muslim” is shortsighted and counter-productive. Only when we are able to robustly challenge Islamism while, at the same time, opposing anti-Muslim bigotry against ordinary Muslims can both toxic ideas be defeated.

To see what all the candidates are saying about Islamist extremism see our profile on the U.S. Presidential Election 2016.

ABOUT ELLIOT FRIEDLAND

Elliot Friedland is the Dialogue Coordinator with the Clarion Project. 

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Democrats Panicking over Trump Turning America Red

The Democratic National Committee sent out multiple emails after Donald Trump’s landslide victory in New York. It appears they fear him as the GOP nominee.

obama quote on trump

Image sent in DNC email with the statement, “And after Donald Trump’s huge victory in New York last night, one thing is clear. We CANNOT allow him to be our president.”

The DNC states:

Donald Trump just got one step closer to becoming the Republican nominee. Make sure we’re ready to beat him.

Donald Trump just won New York, and he’s closer than ever to securing the Republican Party’s nomination for President of the United States.

Which means his dangerous policy proposals — from mass deportations and banning Muslims from entering the country to punishing women for seeking abortions — are one step closer to becoming a reality.

The Democratic strategy is to focus on abortion, illegal immigration and increasing Muslim migration. However, these are three areas in which the majority of Americans side with Donald Trump.

In February 2016 Rasmussen, in its Immigration Update, reported that border control is still the top immigration priority for most voters.

A December 2015 Rasmussen report titled “Voters Like Trump’s Proposed Muslim Ban” states:

Despite an international uproar and condemnation by President Obama and nearly all of those running for the presidency, Donald Trump’s proposed ban on Muslims coming to the United States has the support of a sizable majority of Republicans – and a plurality of all voters.

new york temporary ban on muslims

New York voter poll on a temporary ban on Muslims entering the United States.

Gallop provides the below infographic showing 70% of Americans support controlling abortions in some or all circumstances:

gallop abortion infographic

Is the  DNC depending on the abortion, illegal alien and Muslim migration issues to win in November? It appears so. Their objective is to portray Trump as anti-women, anti-illegals and anti-Muslim. The voters, however, see these three issues differently.

As the primary process winds down, it looks more and more like Trump will be the GOP nominee. The DNC certainly thinks so, and it is using his name to raise campaign funds.

What does that tell you?

To view the current delegate count for the Democratic and Republican nomination for president click here.

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EDITORS NOTE: The featured infographic of the states won by Donald Trump is courtesy of the DNC.

Influencer2016: Who’s behind each candidate’s presidential campaign?

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