wes moore Archives - Dr. Rich Swier

The betting website Polymarket announced a “new Polymarket” focused on the 2028 presidential election Friday in a post to X.

As of publication, Vice President JD Vance leads the pack at 27 percent when not selecting for party, with Democratic California Gov. Gavin Newsom coming in second at 17 percent, according to Polymarket. The site describes itself as the largest prediction market in the world and allows users to “buy and sell shares representing future event outcomes,” its website reads.

Democratic New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez places third at 10 percent, followed by former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Former Democratic 2024 presidential nominee and Vice President Kamala Harris places ninth at four percent, just behind President Donald Trump, who will be ineligible to run for reelection in 2028 because he will have served two terms.

🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Who will win the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election?

— Polymarket (@Polymarket) July 18, 2025

Among Democratic contenders, Newsom leads the field in betting with a 22 percent chance of winning, followed by Ocasio-Cortez, who has an 18 percent chance, according to Polymarket.

Behind the frontrunners are Buttigieg, with 12 percent, Democratic Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro with seven percent and Harris with six percent.

Vance has a clear lead in the betting for Republican contenders at 56 percent, far ahead of second-place Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who is at 6%, according to Polymarket.

Vance assumed the post of RNC campaign finance chair in March — the first to hold the post while serving as vice president — setting him up to be one of the primary GOP fundraisers and ensuring he will play a key role in the 2026 midterms and further afield.

The vice president has engaged with mainstream television hosts in viral interviews. He also reportedly played a major role in pushing at least two Trump cabinet picks — Director of Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — through the Senate.

Republican Florida Rep. Byron Donalds labeled Vance “the leader in the clubhouse” in April, noting that he would be a difficult opponent in 2028.

Newsom has made himself regularly available on social media and in adversarial interviews with people leaning toward the right in what many pundits speculate is a primer for a 2028 run.

He’s also appears to have the backing of a prominent Democrat in South Carolina Rep. Jim Clyburn. the congressman said he “feels good about” Newsom’s chances at the White House while appearing next to him in an early July event in South Carolina.

Clyburn, who party insiders and media have referred to as the Democratic “kingmaker,” boosted former President Joe Biden’s presidential run in 2020 by endorsing him. The endorsement was a key factor for Biden winning the state’s primary, according to The Washington Post.

AUTHOR

Robert McGreevy

Reporter

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Democratic Gov. Wes Moore of Maryland falsely claimed on an application to have been awarded a Bronze Star Medal for his Army service in Afghanistan in 2006, according to The New York Times.

Moore claimed to have received the honor on a White House fellowship application in 2006, and has failed to correct television hosts who have wrongly introduced him as a recipient of the award in the past, the New York Times reported. Moore, who has also defended Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz amid his accusations of stolen valor, called the discrepancy an “honest mistake” and expressed regret for not correcting his application, according to a statement from Thursday.

“I was encouraged to fill out an application for the White House Fellowship by my deputy brigade commander,” Moore said in a statement. “In fact, he helped me edit it before I sent it in. At the time, he had recommended me for the Bronze Star. He told me to include the Bronze Star award on my application after confirming with two other senior-level officers that they had also signed off on the commendation.”

“Still, I sincerely wish I had gone back to correct the note on my application,” Moore continued. “It was an honest mistake, and I regret not making that correction.”

Moore had not received either the Bronze Star or the Combat Army Badge at the time that he submitted his application in January of 2006, the New York Times confirmed. He was eventually awarded the Combat Army Badge in May 2006, but there is no record of him ever receiving a Bronze Star.

“Over the last few weeks, our country has grown used to seeing what it looks like when a veteran’s integrity is attacked for political gain,” Moore said in the statement. “But those who seek to cast doubt on our records misunderstand something fundamental about true patriots, who have put on the flag of our country and put everything on the line to be called Americans: We don’t get shaken. We put our heads down, and we do the work. And that is what I will continue to do.”

Moore also defended another prominent Democrat who had his military record questioned. Just days after Vice President Kamala Harris announced Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate, his statements about his military service in the National Guard were called into question.

Walz previously advocated for a ban on “weapons of war” that he said he “carried in war,” according to a video posted by Harris’ campaign on X. However, Walz never actually went into combat and reportedly retired from the Minnesota National Guard in 2005 shortly after he learned that his unit was being deployed to Iraq.

Republican Sen. J.D. Vance of Ohio, former President Donald Trump’s running mate, called out this discrepancy and claimed that Walz “abandoned” his unit.

“Well I wonder, Tim Walz, when were you ever in war?” Vance said during a campaign event. “What was this weapon that you carried into war given that you abandoned your unit right before they went to Iraq and he has not spent a day in a combat zone? What bothers me about Tim Walz is the stolen valor garbage.”

Moore responded to Vance and defended Walz in an August MSNBC interview, saying that anyone who has served the country “deserves our utmost respect.”

“You don’t get to sergeant major just because,” Moore said in the interview. “You get to sergeant major because you’ve served this country.”

AUTHOR

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Contributor.

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Polymarket Releases First Look At 2028 Presidential Odds

Robert McGreevy