A ‘1 Million Voter Pot of Gold’ that will Turn Florida Deep Red

Florida, over the past two Presidential election cycles, has been carried by President Obama by a narrow margin. If Republicans lose Florida in 2016 then they cannot win the Presidency, regardless of the Republican nominee. That is a cold hard fact. Voters are won based on public policy issues that motivate them to go to the polls and pull the lever or touch the voter screen for the political party that best reflects their values and beliefs.

It makes no sense for Republicans in Florida to “chase” special interest left-of-center groups in a hope to get their vote, which will never happen. In makes a lot of sense to “chase” the obvious demographic that is with Republicans on most issues, the Christian vote. If more Conservative Christians get seriously involved in Florida politics, then the state will turn solid RED (Republican).

Here are the 2012 demographics showing that one million Christians Do Not Vote:

19,000,000 …….. FLORIDA POPULATION (2010 US Census)

15,000,000 ……… VOTING AGE CITIZENS (over 18)

12,000,000 ……… REGISTERED VOTERS (80% of voting age pop.)

12,000,000 ……… VOTING AGE CHRISTIANS (80% of voting age pop.)

8,474,179 ……… TOTAL NUMBER OF VOTES CAST IN 2012

4,235,270 …….…. OBAMA VOTES IN 2012 – (50%)

4,162,081 ….……   ROMNEY VOTES IN 2012 – (49.1%)

73,189 ……….… OBAMA OVER ROMNEY VICTORY MARGIN in 2012

9,000,000 ………. POTENTIAL EVANGELICAL / PROTESTANT CHRISTIAN VOTERS (60% of pop)

3,000,000 ………. CATHOLIC CHRISTIAN VOTERS (20% of pop)

2,250,000 ………. EVANGELICAL CHRISTIANS WHO ACTUALLY VOTE*

6,750,000 ………. PROBABLE EVANGELICAL CHRISTIANS WHO DO NOT VOTE

1,000,000 ……… PROBABLE CATHOLIC CHRISTIANS WHO DO NOT VOTE

7,000,000 ……… CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATE OF ALL CHRISTIANS WHO DO NOT VOTE

1,000,000 ……. EXTREMELY CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATE OF NON-VOTING CHRISTIANS

NOTE: *Typically 50% of evangelical Christians are registered to vote and ONLY 50% of those registered actually do vote. That means that ONLY 25% of very serious, conservative Christians actually vote.

It is critical that the Republican Party of Florida provide positive incentives for these 1 million Christians to register as Republicans and vote Republican in 2016 and beyond. If the Republican Party of Florida does this Florida will remain deep red for the foreseeable future.

---